Following from yesterday’s post about how the result affected me comes my own views on why I feel this is not a choice in our best interests. Of course for those in the UK, this is done and that’s that (well for the present, History never stops). This is probably written for those of you who live outside of the UK and are wondering why there is so much fuss.
Just to recap I was on abut reading histories. Not that this means I am an expert or a suitable contributor to worthy journals. However, read enough of it and softly so warnings and lessons seep in. Enough of that diet, with an open mind and notions stick with the reader.
So here is the thing. We in these isles have been linked up with the mainland Europe since before Christ was born. We’ve interfered with them and they with us. We imported kings, we fought wars & we did deals. We stabbed each in the backs, we argued, we fussed, we made up, we stood together, forgot we’d stood together, we worked as one, we worked against each other, we gossiped about each other and our get togethers were fractious; sounds like a large family doesn’t it?
Then in the twentieth century so puffed up with our own collective ideas of omnipotence and manifest destinies we shoved each other too much. and then from 1914 to 1945 (48 if you count the Greek Civil War), we flew at each other. Playing by the old rules, but with new tools. We brought a Hell that put The Thirty Years War in the shade. And we wore ourselves out, then Russia, Last Man Standing was set to play out the last act of the old European Game, but the US now taking up the 19th Century role Britain had been dealing out to the rest of the world back then, said ‘Oh No. That will not suit us at all’.
Well us Europeans are pretty good at building up things out of wreckage, we’ve had about 1500 years’ practice and so by the end of the century, wow everyone except Russia (naturally, that’s how they roll; read their history sometime, it’s a long drama) wanted to be in the Western European club. Lots of cool trade deals, big long roads, flash buildings and money (for most). All built on a tangle of deals, compromises, fudges, rhetoric, lofty ideals, and money-making notions, as well as more quiet destinies; like let’s try and keep it in our own borders folk (France and Britain took some convincing, we’d still got Empire echoes, both of us). Neat, everyone ties up everyone else and no government can play that fast and loose (check on Greece when they tried to, now the ordinary Greeks suffer). Folk could go over the heads of their own governments in some cases and go to Europe to settle their complaint. Rules and Regulations were set up which were concerned more with the person than the current wishes for the ruling party in power. And the best bit, poor regions of nations get money out of the big collective pot. Neat uh?
But now 38.5% of the adult voting nation have decided we can do better on our own. They believe we have the resources to take on the USA, China, Russia, India or whoever else is coming up fast on the horizon. They have an idea 40 years of accumulated legislations and conventions can be dismantled in a steady business-like fashion and we can go our own way. This would be a tough task, and take up much parliamentary time, which means a lot of the usual business will be put on hold. It is fashionable amongst us all to moan about governments and legislations, but in complex societies like ours all that is essential to the day-to-day things you take for granted.
The powers that be with the EU be they governmental, institutional or financial are not happy and they will either want us to get out in haste or drag the heels hoping for something better; indications suggest the former. How many hear have had to quit a home in a hurry for one reason or another? No fun is it?
Within what is currently called The UK, the vote has not been uniform: Let me explain and then add comments:
England: Mostly majorities to Leave; London being singularly wanting to stay. Clue very multi-cultural. The genie of Racism has been let out. It will be difficult to control, particularly as those who voted Leave will expect things to happen quickly.
Scotland: Voted to Remain; the spectre of a second referendum to separate from the rest of the UK is gathering pace.
Northern Ireland: Voted to Remain. It is fair to assume the overwhelming majority of the Nationalist Community voted that way; this sets up another friction point with the Loyalist Community, and those friction points can be deadly. (Despite what some would have you believe Ulster politics is very complex and emotional with TWO very intense sides)
Wales: Apart from one area where Welsh in the First Language Wales voted to Leave. Wales relies on refunding from the EU. Wales will now have to ask the Westminster Parliament if they could give them the money. If the Central Government do, it will come with strings attached…so bye-bye Welsh semi-independence (It’s part of Welsh history; we throw opportunities away. There is a suggestion a welsh prince and his followers landed in North America sometime in the 11th /12th century and founded a colony- then it vanished. As one welsh writer put it; ‘Only The Welsh could discover America and then forget where they’d put it’).
David Cameron has resigned, which means the governing party The Conservatives has to elect a new leader, who will become the Prime Minister. The Conservative Party has a history of toxic battles over European Membership. Whoever may well be Leave, and will of course wish to have like-thinking folk on their side in government. The question will be, are these folk of loyalty or capability?
And where we like it or not, in this world the Commercial Markets and Traders have the final say, and these are institutions who do not like uncertainty, or which there will be plenty.
On the whole, then, so many questions, and all I have heard so far in response in rhetoric and hopes. Well that’s fine; in a film.
I am ready to answer questions from the audience.